Polymarket research for investors who want prediction market probability analysis without a wallet. Compare crowd YES% with Agents61 multi-agent estimates — Probability Gaps and Strategy Reports, not betting tickets.
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Scan active markets, rank probability disagreements, then run full committee research only on top candidates — not every ticker on the tape.
市场胜算 vs 我们的胜算:差得越多,越值得点进去看确信度。
| 问题 | 市场胜算 | 我们的胜算 | 差了多少 | 确信度 | 成交量 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 94.5% | 79% | -16% | 约 80% | $18.1M |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 5.5% | 19% | +14% | 约 55% | $15.4M |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | 10.9% | 22% | +11% | 约 55% | $724K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | 13% | 22% | +9% | 约 55% | $855K |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | 79.5% | 71% | -9% | 约 55% | $2.7M |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | 20.5% | 29% | +9% | 约 55% | $2.3M |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 70.5% | 63% | -8% | 约 55% | $11.3M |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 28.5% | 35% | +7% | 约 55% | $6.2M |
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