Learn · 6 min
Invert the thesis before you size
Inversion is cheaper before size than after. Use debate seats so the bull narrative cannot edit the bear narrative. The output is kill-conditions — not a sell order.
Step 1
State the leftover belief in one sentence
If it takes a paragraph, you do not have a belief. You have a mood. Write the sentence you would be embarrassed to be wrong about.
Step 2
Convene with debate in mind
Ask what kills it: earnings quality, leverage, cycle, governance, customer concentration. Staff dedicated debate seats — do not rely on remembering to prompt a chatbot.
Step 3
Do not average the bear
A 60/40 split is information. A blended “cautiously optimistic” is not. Read the clerk stack for named disagreement, then decide whether the leftover belief still deserves size.
Register and invert a thesis you already like
Create an account and staff debate seats before you size. Kill-conditions stay on the page — research simulation, not a sell ticket.
Create accountResearch simulation. Not advice.
