Learn · 8 min

Research a probability gap in 15 minutes — then stop

Polymarket sets the mid. Agents61 researches whether that probability holds under independent seats. Gaps are disagreement — not a Buy YES instruction. Stop after watchlist.

1. Step 1

   Get the market mid from Polymarket

   Copy an /event/… or /market/… URL from Polymarket. Note the YES mid and resolution wording. Agents61 is not the exchange and will not open a wallet for you.

2. Step 2

   Import and read Market vs Agents61

   Paste on /predictions (or open Top Gaps / Scanner). Note YES%, Agents61 estimate, range, and the Gap. A single point estimate without a range is a lie of precision — read the range.

3. Step 3

   Read why wrong AND why right

   A one-sided gap report is marketing. Resolution risk, information risk, and invalidation come before any “edge” story. If resolution wording is ambiguous, treat the gap as research noise until clarified.

4. Step 4

   Watchlist, do not wallet — then stop

   Track whether the mid moves toward Agents61. Do not treat a gap as a buy YES instruction. Free desks get one Analyze; paid desks add news layer and Pro Clerk. Execution stays on Polymarket if you trade at all.

Research simulation. Not advice.