Use cases · Prediction Markets
Use case: hunt probability gaps on prediction markets
The market says 32%. Agents61 estimates 46%. The product is the gap — plus why, catalysts, and what would invalidate the thesis. Paste a Polymarket URL or open the scanner. No wallet.
- Top Probability Gaps ranked by |Agents61 − Market|.
- Full Strategy Report after Analyze (free: 1 run; paid: news + Pro Clerk).
- Watchlist tracks whether the tape moves toward or away from Agents61.
What “mispriced” means here
We mean probability disagreement under research uncertainty — not a guaranteed edge. Resolution ambiguity can make a “correct” world-event resolve the wrong way for the contract.
Two-stage cost control
Scan widely with cheap filters. Run the full committee only on candidates you open. That is how the desk stays affordable.
Questions
Will Agents61 tell me to buy YES?
No. View Market / Analyze / Watchlist only. Research simulation.
Where do I start?
Open /predictions, sort Top Gaps, or paste a Polymarket URL.
Related
Research simulation. Isolated briefs never say you should buy. No order routing.