Agents61
All notes

Markets notes

ETFs, crypto, pre-IPO — research simulation on the right file.

September 2, 2026

Bitcoin research is not a P/E. On-chain analysis needs a different desk.

Forcing cash-flow multiples onto BTC, ETH, or SOL is how equity tools fail crypto. Settlement, usage, and policy are the file.

September 5, 2026

ETF research without a star rating

QQQ, sector funds, and thematic wrappers need holdings, cycle, and inversion — not five stars. A committee can write. It will not rate the wrapper.

September 5, 2026

Pre-IPO research is a simulation — treat it like one

Private boards have fewer filings and more narrative. Isolated seats should stay inconclusive when facts are missing. Not a 13F. Not a allocation ticket.

September 5, 2026

On-chain due diligence: a desk that will not invent a P/E

BTC, ETH, SOL, and the rest of the board need issuance, usage, and policy — not equity ratios. How to run the crypto committee without a coin rating.