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Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume $11.6M · Closes Oct 28, 2026 · View source market

数字都是「YES 会成立」的胜算估计,不是「今天能赚多少」。确信度 = 我们对这个估计有多有把握。

市场胜算
Polymarket YES
25.5%
我们的胜算
Agents61 YES
—
差了多少
Gap
—
确信度
有多有把握
—
市场
0% 几乎不会50% 对半100% 几乎一定

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Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel — Prediction research | Agents61