Agents61

← Prediction Markets

polymarketOpengeneral

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Volume $8.1M · Closes Oct 27, 2026 · View source market

数字都是「YES 会成立」的胜算估计,不是「今天能赚多少」。确信度 = 我们对这个估计有多有把握。

市场胜算
Polymarket YES
67.8%
我们的胜算
Agents61 YES
—
差了多少
Gap
—
确信度
有多有把握
—
市场
0% 几乎不会50% 对半100% 几乎一定

Probability history

Run Analyze to start an append-only history of Market vs Agents61 estimates.

Free: 1 template analyze. Paid desk: news layer + Pro Prediction Clerk.

市场胜算是多少?我们的胜算是多少?差了多少?确信度大概几成?——点 Analyze 出完整报告。

No Agents61 report yet. Click Analyze to research this market's odds.

Keep researching on the desk

Prediction Markets is odds research. The equity desk staffs legends on tickers the same way — isolated briefs, then a clerk.

Register / sign in