This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume $7.5M · Closes Oct 27, 2026 · View source market
数字都是「YES 会成立」的胜算估计，不是「今天能赚多少」。确信度 = 我们对这个估计有多有把握。
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市场胜算是多少？我们的胜算是多少？差了多少？确信度大概几成？——点 Analyze 出完整报告。
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