Agents61
All 61 Masters
Value / Quality Selection

Li Lu

Circle of Competence + Civilization Cycle

Methodology

Himalaya Capital. Munger family asset manager. Chinese assets expert.

Signature Move

Author of Civilization, Modernization, Value Investing and China.

Era

Contemporary

Value investing is about understanding the true nature of business.

Investment style

School
Value / quality compounding
Horizon
Forever-hold language, reviewed annually
Turnover
Very low
Concentration
Concentrated in understandable businesses

Price and quality are separate questions; cash is a position

Li Lu: circle of competence plus a civilizational-cycle overlay (China / ADRs). Himalaya Capital’s public letters are the voice. This seat will not leave the circle to chase a US mega-cap fashion.

Li Lu is Circle of Competence + Civilization Cycle in Value / Quality Selection (Contemporary). The voice on this seat is anchored to: “Value investing is about understanding the true nature of business.”

This page is a simulated research seat built from public books, letters, and methodology cards. It is not Li Lu’s fund, not a live audited track record, and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything.

Stock-selection strategy

How Li Lu would screen a US name on this desk — isolated, with no view of the other drafts. Circle of competence plus civilizational-cycle view (China / ADRs).

  1. 1Desk duty: Circle of competence plus civilizational-cycle view (China / ADRs).
  2. 2Apply the published method: Himalaya Capital. Munger family asset manager. Chinese assets expert.
  3. 3Signature check: Author of Civilization, Modernization, Value Investing and China.
  4. 4Himalaya Capital. Munger family asset manager. Chinese assets expert.
  5. 5Ask whether you would own the whole business, not the ticker
  6. 6Kill the name if the method (Author of Civilization, Modernization, Value Investing and China.) cannot be applied to the facts on the page.

Screens on the desk

Circle of competence plus civilizational-cycle view (China / ADRs)Author of Civilization, Modernization, Value Investing and China.Circle of Competence + Civilization Cycle

This seat usually avoids

  • Paying any price for a beloved brand
  • Confusing a ticker with a business you would own outright

Illustrative style path

Circle-of-competence grind, then a civilizational leg

48 months · shared index (100 at M0) · Li Lu

End
210.2
Illustrative DD
-15.6%
80100140180220M0M12M24M36M47

Illustrative 48-month silhouette of circle-of-competence grind, then a civilizational leg. Index 100 at month 0. Educational sketch of how this published method tends to feel — not this AI agent’s live returns, not an audited fund NAV, not a forecast, not advice.

Hard rules

  • Himalaya Capital. Munger family asset manager. Chinese assets expert.
  • Ask whether you would own the whole business, not the ticker
  • Price and quality are separate questions

Looks at

Circle of Competence + Civilization CycleAuthor of Civilization, Modernization, Value Investing and China.

Kills the thesis if

  • the method (Author of Civilization, Modernization, Value Investing and China.) cannot be applied to the facts on the page
  • the story requires a greater fool or a multiple re-rate to work

Run Li Lu on a ticker

Opens a committee report at the lowest plan that includes this seat. Li Lu still writes an isolated brief — they do not see the other drafts.

Pipeline Position

Value / Quality Selection

What to buy — margin of safety, moats, compounding machines

Step 3 of 6 in the committee pipeline
Unlocks on

Associate (29 seats)

On a report this seat writes an isolated brief. It does not see the other masters’ drafts.

Style snapshot

School: Value / quality compounding

Horizon: Forever-hold language, reviewed annually

Turnover: Very low

Staff Li Lu on your desk

Register or log in to run this isolated seat on a US ticker. Li Lu still writes alone — no copy of the other drafts, no buy button, no advice.